Recompete Radar: expiring federal contracts

2993 contracts ending within 18 months across 8 service NAICS · $388.2B obligated · data as of 2026-07-17

Most federal "opportunities" are recompetes of work someone already holds. The radar starts from the award data instead of the announcement: every active contract in eight services NAICS whose period of performance ends within 18 months, with the incumbent, the buying agency, obligated dollars and the end date — so you can see the recompete coming before it hits SAM.gov. A cross-link against fresh SAM.gov Sources Sought / Presolicitation notices yields 520 high-confidence live recompete signals, shown on each NAICS page.

How this data is built (and what it is not): awards come from USAspending's spending_by_award search — for each NAICS we scan the top awards by obligated dollars (floor $250K, at least one transaction since FY2024) and keep those whose period of performance ends in the next 18 months. That is a top-by-value slice, not an exhaustive census — small awards below the floor and beyond the scan depth are not here. Two known lags: DoD contract actions publish to USAspending roughly 90 days after award, so the newest DoD awards and modifications are systematically missing (end dates of established contracts remain reliable); and obligation figures reflect the latest reported data period, not today. Set-aside is sparsely populated at the award level. Verify any award on its linked USAspending page before acting.

Data as of 2026-07-17 · sources: USAspending.gov award search + DATA Act reporting, SAM.gov Contract Opportunities extract (all public domain) · regenerated from the radar pipeline's JSON exports on every site build.

Expiring contracts by NAICS

Commercial & Institutional Building Construction

NAICS 236220 · 367 contracts ending within 18 months · $41.8B obligated · 170 expire within 6 months.

Engineering Services

NAICS 541330 · 308 contracts ending within 18 months · $54.6B obligated · 177 expire within 6 months.

Custom Computer Programming Services

NAICS 541511 · 436 contracts ending within 18 months · $15.4B obligated · 259 expire within 6 months.

Computer Systems Design Services

NAICS 541512 · 429 contracts ending within 18 months · $60.3B obligated · 247 expire within 6 months.

Other Computer Related Services

NAICS 541519 · 414 contracts ending within 18 months · $22.7B obligated · 257 expire within 6 months.

Administrative Management & General Management Consulting

NAICS 541611 · 367 contracts ending within 18 months · $21.9B obligated · 218 expire within 6 months.

Facilities Support Services

NAICS 561210 · 367 contracts ending within 18 months · $162.8B obligated · 222 expire within 6 months.

Security Guards & Patrol Services

NAICS 561612 · 305 contracts ending within 18 months · $8.6B obligated · 238 expire within 6 months.

The Money Map

The other half of the hunt: which agencies still have FY2026 money to obligate and are behind the calendar. Top pressure right now: Department of the Treasury ($3.2T unobligated); Department of Agriculture ($308.5B unobligated); Department of Transportation ($216.5B unobligated). The full agency table →

From signal to submission

Found a target? The free tools take it from there — shred the RFP into a compliance matrix, check the flowdowns against the full Part 52 table, price with the wrap-rate calculator, and if the award goes sideways, the protest calculator has your clocks. New to federal work entirely? Start at SAM.gov, decoded.